The situation 1510 – May 10, 2026

1. Russian and Ukrainian forces continued limited offensive operations across the theater throughout the second day of the May 9–11 ceasefire.
2. Russian President Vladimir Putin vaguely suggested that the war in Ukraine could end soon, despite offering no indication that Russia intends to end the war.
3. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky refuted Russian claims that Ukraine is sabotaging the planned prisoner of war (POW) exchange as part of the three-day Victory Day ceasefire.
4. Russia appears to be increasing the sophistication of its cognitive warfare effort that uses flag raisings to achieve informational impacts.
5. The Kremlin and the Russian military command continue to coerce and punish pro-war information space figures critical of Russian political and military leadership as part of a wider effort to consolidate control over the information space.
6. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Borova and Slovyansk directions, the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

The full update of the Russian offensive 1510 is available on UNDERSTANDING WAR.