The situation 1433 –February 22, 2026

1. Russian forces conducted another large, combined strike package overnight on February 21 to 22 and appear to be shifting their target set from primarily energy infrastructure to include Ukrainian water and railway infrastructure.
2. Ukrainian officials accused Russian intelligence services of coordinating an improvised explosive device (IED) attack on a shopping center in Lviv City on February 22 that killed one and injured at least 25.
3. Russia is likely escalating a sabotage campaign intended to degrade Ukrainians’ trust in their security and destabilize Ukrainian society.
4. Russia is reportedly selling man-portable air defense systems (MANPADS) to Iran, likely to repair its reputation among Iran and Russia’s other allies.      
5. Russian forces recently advanced near Slovyansk.

The full update of the Russian offensive 1433 is available on UNDERSTANDING WAR.