The situation 1322 – October 31, 2025

1. Ukrainian forces marginally advanced during recent counterattacks north of Pokrovsk as Russian forces continue to infiltrate into Pokrovsk and east of Myrnohrad (east of Pokrovsk).
2. The Pentagon approved the provision of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine on October 31, but the final decision remains with US President Donald Trump.
3. Russia and Belarus continue to threaten Europe with the future deployment of Oreshnik missiles to Belarus.
4. Ukraine continues to conduct long-range drone and missile strikes against Russian air defense and energy infrastructure.
5. Russian forces have repeatedly struck Ukraine with nuclear-capable 9M729 Novator ground-launched cruise missiles since August 2025, in apparent violation of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty.
6. A German court convicted several citizens of conspiring to commit acts of sabotage in Germany on behalf of Russia, and Lithuanian authorities closed the Vilnius Airport due to more aerial incursions from Belarusian airspace.
7. Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov recently appointed former First Deputy Trade and Industry Minister Vasily Osmakov as Deputy Minister of Defense.
8. Ukrainian forces advanced in the Dobropillya tactical area and near Pokrovsk. Russian forces advanced in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area and near Pokrovsk.

The full update of the Russian offensive 1322 is available on UNDERSTANDING WAR